On the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the predicted probability that Strategy will sell Bitcoin (BTC) before May 31 has dropped to 24%. This figure represents a 16 percentage point decrease compared to 24 hours ago.

The medium- to long-term selling outlook is also showing a downward trend. Currently, the probability of Strategy selling BTC as tallied on Polymarket stands at 69% before June 30 and 88% before the end of the year (December 31), having dropped by 3 to 6 percentage points, respectively, over the past 24 hours.

This drop in predicted probability is interpreted as the effect of Strategy withdrawing 411 BTC, the exact same amount it had deposited on Coinbase the previous day. The market analyzes that such movements have partially alleviated the recent rumors of a BTC sell-off.